Bitcoin's Parabolic Growth Arc Snaps; Trader Peter Brandt Predicts Potential Drop to $25,000
Veteran trader Peter Brandt has warned that bitcoin's previously robust parabolic growth trajectory has fractured, potentially leading to a decline toward $25,000. Bitcoin had reached a record high of approximately $126,000 in October 2025 but has since retraced to just under $90,000, breaking the established parabolic trend.
Brandt's analysis uses a logarithmic scale chart that identifies four steepening parabolic curves, with the current price move violating the fourth arc. He identifies roughly $25,240—approximately 20% of the all-time high on the log scale—as a potential floor.
Examining historical post-halving cycles, Brandt notes diminishing returns: the 2012 cycle saw an approximate 100-fold increase to $1,240 by December 2013; 2016 experienced about a 74-fold increase; 2020 roughly 8-fold; with the latest cycle beginning in April 2024.
Historically, bitcoin rallies for about 12 to 18 months following halving events before entering bear markets marked by 70% to 80% pullbacks from peak prices. Brandt emphasizes the theme of exponential decay in Bitcoin's bull cycles and warns that breaching the parabolic support line could result in a brutal downside.
