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Bitcoin's Volatility Bands Signal Imminent Major Price Move image from coindesk.com
Image from coindesk.com

Bitcoin's Volatility Bands Signal Imminent Major Price Move

Posted 4th Jan 2026

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Bitcoin has been trading in a narrow range between $85,000 and $90,000 for approximately two weeks. During this period, its volatility bands, measured by Bollinger Bands, have tightened to a gap of less than $3,500, the narrowest since July. This compression signals a potential significant price movement ahead.

Historical patterns indicate that such squeezes often precede major volatility. For instance, a similar squeeze in late July led to a two-week range between $115,000 and $120,000 before expanding to a broader range of $100,000 to $126,000. Another squeeze in late February tightened between $94,000 and $98,000 before the price dropped to $80,000 by month-end.

Currently, Bitcoin trades around $88,600, reflecting a roughly 1% increase over the past 24 hours. The reliability of Bollinger Bands in predicting volatility spikes has been observed since at least 2018. The present squeeze indicates a low-volatility phase where energy is building for the next significant price swing, which could result in rapid movements either upwards or downwards.

Sources
Coindesk Logo
https://coindesk.com/markets/2026/01/02/bitcoin-s-squeeze-sets-stage-for-major-price-swing
* This article has been summarised using Artificial Intelligence and may contain inaccuracies. Please fact-check details with the sources provided.