Could do a better job than Keir Starmer? Who could replace the PM if he is forced out
Keir Starmer is facing leadership speculation amid worsening poll ratings and the potential for a significant defeat in the May local elections. While Starmer has stated he could stand aside if a candidate emerges who could do a better job, he remains confident about defeating any leadership challenge.
Angela Rayner, once deputy leader, stands out as a leading contender. She could return to the cabinet and, if she leads the party, might appoint a right-leaning chancellor to reassure markets.
Wes Streeting, the health secretary, is also among the top contenders. Allies emphasize that his actions reflect planning rather than plotting. Streeting has received strong cabinet approval in YouGov polling and is valued for his ability to counter Nigel Farage.
Shabana Mahmood, a Home Office minister, is seen as a centrist with reform credentials. However, party support has been damaged by reforms to asylum and returns policies. Mahmood might pursue a leadership bid but could face barriers, including those related to her being a Muslim woman.
Ed Miliband, the former Labour leader, remains popular within the cabinet but is considered more likely to be a kingmaker than king. Some allies suggest he would not want the job again, while others believe he could outperform Starmer.
Other candidates floated include John Healey, Andy Burnham, Bridget Phillipson, Lucy Powell, Darren Jones, Al Carns, and Richard Burgon.
The potential leadership contest is shaped by party dynamics, union backing, market signals, and crucially, timing.
