Keir Starmer Faces Critical Leadership Test in 2026 Local and Devolved Elections
The year 2026 is widely considered a make-or-break moment for Keir Starmer's leadership, with significant discussions about his vulnerability both within Westminster and on the international stage.
A key crunch point will occur on 7 May 2026, the date scheduled for elections to the Welsh Parliament (Senedd), Scottish Parliament, and multiple English local authorities.
Labour is concerned that a substantial defeat in these elections could undermine its ability to campaign effectively and maintain critical local footholds necessary for success across councils and devolved bodies.
Speculation surrounds possible successors to Starmer, with names like Wes Streeting, Andy Burnham, and Shabana Mahmood being mentioned.
In Wales, Labour faces the risk of losing control of the devolved government for the first time since 1999, challenged by the dynamics of double incumbency and a reformed Senedd. Plaid Cymru remains optimistic about its prospects, while Reform UK seeks to compete strongly.
In Scotland, Labour urges voters to carefully consider the Scottish National Party's (SNP) 18 years in power. Some polls indicate the SNP enjoys greater popularity than Labour in the UK, while Reform UK also contests seats there.
Within London, Labour currently holds 21 of 32 councils, but the May elections may prove difficult due to competition from Reform in outer boroughs, Greens in Hackney, and independents in Redbridge.
This electoral moment unfolds against a backdrop of political instability marked by six prime ministers within a decade, heavily influenced by Britain's experience with Brexit, the pandemic, the cost of living crisis, and evolving social media landscapes, all shaping expectations for leadership stability by 2026.
