Key Tests for Keir Starmer and Labour in 2026: SEND Reforms, Single-Sex Spaces, and Elections
Keir Starmer begins 2026 as Prime Minister with historically low popularity. Labour aims to demonstrate to voters that the change they supported in 2024 is being delivered, describing the year ahead as a "year of proof." The party faces several critical challenges and legislative priorities.
Under Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson, the government is advancing reforms on Special Educational Needs and Disabilities (SEND). A white paper plans to limit or overhaul Education, Health and Care Plans (EHCPs), but concerns have been raised by parents' groups and backbenchers. They fear the reforms may prioritize cost-saving over actual system improvements, and there is a risk of backlash if pressures on disability-benefits welfare re-emerge.
The local and regional elections in May 2026 represent a moment of maximum danger for both Labour and the Conservatives. Labour expects losses and faces the risk of finishing third in parts of Wales and Scotland. These results may trigger a leadership contest within the party. Labour plans to frame Reform UK as a far-right threat in the electoral context.
Following the elections, the government is preparing a legislative push that will include proroguing parliament, setting out a new King's Speech, and introducing key bills. These bills cover SEND measures, an immigration bill, House of Lords reform, and changes to leasehold laws, all aimed at refreshing the government's direction.
In international relations, managing the US-UK partnership remains a priority. Efforts focus on securing a technology deal related to AI and quantum computing. However, trade negotiations are complicated by US concerns over unrelated issues. The incoming US ambassador, Christian Turner, is expected to play a role in facilitating these talks.
Official guidance concerning access to single-sex public spaces will be influenced by a recent Supreme Court ruling affirming biological sex as the basis for defining womanhood. Interim guidance on transgender people's use of restrooms may be retained until formal Equality and Human Rights Commission (EHRC) guidance is issued in 2026. This remains a potential flashpoint among Members of Parliament.
