The Importance of Europe in Curbing Russia's Might
Europe must mobilize its superior economic and military potential to deter Russia and secure Ukraine and European stability, according to Bill Jones.
The article warns that NATO deterrence credibility could be undermined if the US under the Trump administration deprioritises Europe, risking Russia testing responses. If Putin wins in Ukraine, the Baltic states would face higher risk and Russia’s strategic pressure could expand in Europe.
The author cites a warning from the 1930s about Europe ignoring existential threats and urges timely action to prevent a repeat. Belgium’s resistance to seizing Russian assets is framed as a potential financial liability, with debate over how liability would be shared among EU states. Robin Wilson argues Belgium’s stance protects it from possible bankruptcy, while broader liability for asset seizures remains a EU-wide concern.
The article references Timothy Garton Ash’s view that Europe must lead to save Ukraine from Putin and Trump, noting that the nuclear balance aspect was not discussed.
Deterrence has historically rested with the Pentagon since the late 1940s, but recent US defence statements imply Europe is not a top priority, raising concerns about NATO’s deterrent credibility.